In this in-depth guide, we will explain what determines electricity prices in Australia, provide a detailed state-by-state breakdown of current and projected costs, analyze the key factors that influence these rates.
Published on 04/05/2025
By Pallav Verma
Electricity Comparison
Electricity isn’t just a utility—it’s an essential part of everyday life. Whether you’re heating your home, powering appliances, or charging your electric vehicle, every kilowatt-hour (kWh) plays a role in your budget and comfort. In Australia, where energy prices are as varied as the country’s landscapes, understanding how much you’re paying for each kWh is crucial for making informed decisions that affect your finances and well-being.
In this in-depth guide, we will explain what determines electricity prices in Australia, provide a detailed state-by-state breakdown of current and projected costs, analyze the key factors that influence these rates, explore the role of renewable energy, and offer actionable advice for reducing your electricity bill. With insights sourced from the latest Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report and other trusted industry data, this post aims to empower you to take control of your energy usage while remaining compliant with regulatory guidelines.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this post is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or legal advice. Prices and projections are based on available data and are subject to change. Consumers are encouraged to verify details and consult relevant experts when making decisions.
Electricity pricing in Australia is complex, influenced by a combination of market dynamics, regulatory frameworks, and technological advancements. At its core, the cost per kWh is determined by several layers of expenses that include:
Understanding these components is vital to decipher why electricity rates vary by state and why future projections can show both downward and upward trends depending on local conditions and policy decisions.
The AEMC’s latest 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report provides a robust framework for analyzing these elements. It offers detailed projections on how market forces and policy decisions will shape electricity prices over the next decade, ensuring that consumers are better prepared to manage their energy expenses.
Australia’s National Electricity Market (NEM) spans several states and territories, each with its own mix of generation sources, network infrastructure, and regulatory settings. Here’s an in-depth look at the average residential electricity prices (in cents per kWh) by state for the fiscal year 2024/25 and what is projected for the future:
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
Summary Table
State/Territory |
Current Average Price (c/kWh) |
Projected Change by 2034 |
ACT |
~30 c/kWh |
-31% (down to ~21–22 c/kWh) |
NSW |
~25–28 c/kWh |
-14% (low 20s c/kWh) |
QLD |
~28–30 c/kWh |
-15% (24–26 c/kWh) |
SA |
~30 c/kWh |
-15% (mid-20s c/kWh) |
VIC |
~22–23 c/kWh |
-9% (low 20s c/kWh) |
TAS |
~26–27 c/kWh |
+6% (upper 20s c/kWh) |
Note: These figures represent average values. Actual rates can vary depending on the retailer, tariff structure, and individual consumption patterns. For the most accurate and personalized information, consult your current bill or a trusted comparison service.
Electricity pricing is the result of a dynamic interplay among several factors. Understanding these factors can help you appreciate the complexities of the energy market and empower you to make more informed decisions.
Wholesale prices form the foundation of your electricity bill. These costs include:
The AEMC report clearly indicates that increasing renewable capacity is a primary driver behind the projected 13% decrease in electricity prices nationally over the next decade.
Network costs are the fees charged for delivering electricity from the power station to your home. They are influenced by:
The AEMC suggests that as electrification increases, network costs per kWh may decline thanks to economies of scale. However, any delays in network upgrades could offset these benefits.
Environmental schemes were initially introduced to subsidize renewable energy. These schemes have influenced electricity pricing in several ways:
According to the AEMC, the reduction of environmental scheme costs is one of the key factors that will drive down residential electricity prices in the next decade.
The final component of your electricity bill is the retail margin, which covers the operational costs, customer service, and profits of energy providers. Factors affecting this include:
While retail margins are typically a smaller portion of your bill compared to wholesale and network costs, they still play a role in the overall price you pay.
Government interventions are crucial in shaping electricity prices. These include:
Such regulatory measures ensure that while market forces drive the majority of pricing, there is also a safety net to protect consumers, especially in times of volatility or crisis.
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
The transition to renewable energy is reshaping the landscape of electricity pricing in Australia. Here’s how:
Renewable energy sources—mainly wind and solar—offer nearly zero fuel costs. As more renewable capacity is added, the average wholesale cost of electricity is expected to decline. The AEMC projects that this shift will be a major contributor to the overall 13% reduction in residential electricity prices over the next decade. With a larger share of low-cost renewables in the energy mix, consumers will see the benefits in their monthly bills.
Many early renewable energy policies, designed to stimulate uptake, have added extra costs to electricity bills. As these legacy schemes (such as feed-in tariffs and renewable certificates) wind down by 2030, their contribution to high rates will diminish. For example, the ACT—historically one of the more expensive regions—faces a sharp decline in prices once these costs are absorbed or removed from the bill structure.
As more households install rooftop solar and adopt battery storage, the demand on the grid is reshaped. Smart energy management (such as shifting usage to off-peak times) not only reduces individual bills but also helps reduce the per-unit cost of network infrastructure. By smoothing out peaks in demand, the network’s fixed costs can be spread over a larger amount of consumed power, thereby lowering the average cost per kWh.
The integration of renewables and smart technologies is not without its challenges—intermittency and the need for storage solutions must be addressed. However, the AEMC’s outlook assumes that coordinated investments in firmed renewable capacity (including batteries and pumped hydro) will mitigate these issues. This not only ensures reliability but also keeps prices on a downward trajectory over the long term.
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
The AEMC’s 2024 report outlines several scenarios, but the base case paints an optimistic picture for Australian households:
On average, residential electricity prices in the NEM are projected to fall by about 13% in real terms by 2034. For many households, this means that even if their energy usage remains constant, their monthly bill could be significantly lower than today.
While most states are set to benefit from falling prices, there will be variations:
Several elements are critical for realizing these projections:
It’s important to note that these projections depend on multiple assumptions:
The AEMC emphasizes that these factors require coordinated action from both industry and policymakers to ensure that the forecast price declines materialize.
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
Understanding how prices are determined is the first step. Next is knowing what you can do to manage your energy costs. Here are some practical tips:
Disclaimer: Third-party comparison services like Econnex may receive commissions from retailers when a customer signs up through their platform. These services typically display plans only from partnered providers. Consumers are encouraged to also use independent tools like Energy Made Easy for a government-operated, commission-free overview of all generally available offers.
However, while battery storage can offer long-term savings and energy independence, it involves significant upfront costs and may not suit all households. Consumers are encouraged to carefully assess whether a battery system aligns with their energy usage patterns, solar generation capacity, and financial circumstances before making a decision.
Following these tips can help you manage your monthly bills and prepare for future changes in the market.
Electricity pricing is not only about numbers—it reflects broader market trends and policy decisions. Here’s how:
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
Electricity prices are a composite of wholesale generation costs, network charges, environmental scheme fees, and retail margins. Government regulations also play a significant role in ensuring these components remain fair and competitive.
State-by-state differences arise from factors like the local energy generation mix, network infrastructure, government policies, and even geographical challenges. For example, the ACT is set to see a dramatic price decline due to the phasing out of renewable scheme costs, while Tasmania may experience a slight increase.
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
You can lower your bill by comparing energy plans, optimizing your usage through smart meters and time-of-use tariffs, investing in renewable energy like rooftop solar, and taking advantage of government rebates and incentives.
The AEMC projects an average national decline of about 13% in residential electricity prices by 2034 (in real terms), though this varies by state. The projections depend on timely investments in renewable capacity, grid upgrades, and effective government policy.
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
Yes, the increasing share of renewables—coupled with the phasing out of legacy environmental scheme costs—is a major factor in lowering wholesale prices and, by extension, overall electricity prices.
Source: AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report
The price you pay for electricity per kWh is more than just a number on your bill—it reflects the evolving dynamics of Australia’s energy market, shaped by technology, policy, and market competition. With the AEMC projecting a 13% average price decline over the next decade (with variations by state), there is reason for optimism, even as challenges remain.
By taking these steps, you not only reduce your electricity bills but also contribute to a broader movement towards a cleaner, more efficient, and more affordable energy future.
In a rapidly evolving energy landscape, every kWh counts. Armed with detailed insights from the AEMC 2024 Residential Electricity Price Trends Report and a clear understanding of what drives costs, you are better positioned to navigate the complexities of electricity pricing in Australia. Whether you’re in the ACT, NSW, QLD, SA, VIC, or TAS, proactive engagement with the market can lead to meaningful savings and a more sustainable future for all.
Electricity pricing in Australia is a dynamic interplay of market forces, government policy, and technological innovation. As consumers, understanding what you pay per kWh and why you pay that amount is the first step toward optimizing your energy use and saving money. This guide is designed to provide you with the tools, insights, and actionable advice needed to navigate the complexities of Australia’s electricity market.
Remember, while the future looks promising with projected price reductions driven by renewable energy and smarter infrastructure investments, your active involvement—by comparing plans, monitoring consumption, and making informed choices—can maximize the benefits for your household. By staying informed and proactive, you can help secure a more affordable, sustainable energy future.